2024-12-18: covid forecaster predictions
Delphi Forecast Team
Rendered: 2024-12-18 11:33:18, Forecast date: 2024-12-18, Last day of data: 2024-12-14
Forecaster Predictions for covid:
Forecaster Predictions for covid:
Main quantile
Extreme quantiles
Fan displays 20-80 quantiles for coverage.
0
25
50
75
0
200
400
600
0
100
200
300
400
0
250
500
750
1000
1000
2000
3000
4000
5000
0
200
400
600
0
200
400
600
0
50
100
150
30
60
90
120
0
1000
2000
3000
0
500
1000
1500
0
50
100
150
0
100
200
300
400
0
50
100
150
200
0
500
1000
1500
2000
0
250
500
750
1000
0
100
200
300
400
0
200
400
600
0
200
400
0
300
600
900
0
200
400
600
0
50
100
150
0
500
1000
0
200
400
600
0
250
500
750
0
100
200
300
40
80
120
160
0
250
500
750
1000
1250
0
30
60
90
0
100
200
300
0
50
100
150
200
0
500
1000
1500
0
50
100
150
200
250
0
100
200
300
0
1000
2000
3000
0
500
1000
1500
0
100
200
300
400
500
0
100
200
300
400
500
0
500
1000
1500
0
100
200
300
400
0
50
100
0
200
400
600
0
50
100
0
200
400
600
800
0
1000
2000
3000
10000
20000
30000
40000
0
100
200
300
400
0
250
500
750
1000
0
20
40
60
0
250
500
750
0
200
400
600
800
0
100
200
300
2024-01
2024-07
2025-01
0
20
40
60
2024-01
2024-07
2025-01
2024-01
2024-07
2025-01
2024-01
2024-07
2025-01
2024-01
2024-07
2025-01
source
nhsn
nssp
target_end_date
value
climate_base
climate_geo_agged
ensemble
ensemble_mix
linear
ak
al
ar
az
ca
co
ct
dc
de
fl
ga
hi
ia
id
il
in
ks
ky
la
ma
md
me
mi
mn
mo
ms
mt
nc
nd
ne
nh
nj
nm
nv
ny
oh
ok
or
pa
pr
ri
sc
sd
tn
tx
usa
ut
va
vt
wa
wi
wv
wy
plotly-logomark
Fan displays 20-80, 5-95, and 1-99 quantiles.
0
50
100
150
0
250
500
750
1000
0
200
400
600
0
500
1000
0
2000
4000
6000
8000
0
300
600
900
0
200
400
600
800
0
50
100
150
0
50
100
150
200
0
1000
2000
3000
4000
0
500
1000
1500
2000
0
100
200
300
0
200
400
600
0
100
200
300
0
500
1000
1500
2000
2500
0
500
1000
0
200
400
600
0
250
500
750
0
250
500
750
0
500
1000
1500
0
250
500
750
1000
1250
0
100
200
0
500
1000
1500
2000
0
300
600
900
0
250
500
750
1000
1250
0
200
400
600
0
50
100
150
200
0
500
1000
1500
2000
0
50
100
150
0
100
200
300
400
0
100
200
0
500
1000
1500
0
100
200
300
400
0
200
400
600
0
1000
2000
3000
4000
0
500
1000
1500
2000
0
200
400
600
800
0
200
400
600
800
0
1000
2000
0
200
400
600
0
50
100
150
200
0
250
500
750
1000
0
50
100
150
0
500
1000
0
2000
4000
6000
0
20000
40000
60000
0
200
400
600
0
500
1000
1500
0
50
100
0
500
1000
1500
0
300
600
900
1200
0
100
200
300
2024-01
2024-07
2025-01
0
30
60
90
2024-01
2024-07
2025-01
2024-01
2024-07
2025-01
2024-01
2024-07
2025-01
2024-01
2024-07
2025-01
source
nhsn
nssp
target_end_date
value
climate_base
climate_geo_agged
ensemble
ensemble_mix
linear
ak
al
ar
az
ca
co
ct
dc
de
fl
ga
hi
ia
id
il
in
ks
ky
la
ma
md
me
mi
mn
mo
ms
mt
nc
nd
ne
nh
nj
nm
nv
ny
oh
ok
or
pa
pr
ri
sc
sd
tn
tx
usa
ut
va
vt
wa
wi
wv
wy
plotly-logomark