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2025-08-13: covid forecaster predictions
Delphi Forecast Team
Rendered: 2025-08-13 15:48:42, Forecast date: 2025-08-13, Last day of data: 2025-08-09
Forecaster Predictions for covid:
Forecaster Predictions for covid:
Main quantile
Extreme quantiles
Main quantile NSSP
Extreme quantiles NSSP
Fan displays 20-80 quantiles for coverage.
0
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40
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1250
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200
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25
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75
100
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30
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90
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300
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100
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0
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250
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750
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0
100
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0
500
1000
0
200
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0
250
500
750
1000
0
200
400
600
0
50
100
150
0
500
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0
200
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0
250
500
750
0
200
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0
50
100
150
0
250
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750
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30
60
90
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100
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0
50
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0
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0
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0
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0
100
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100
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0
500
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0
100
200
0
50
100
0
200
400
0
50
100
0
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1000
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30000
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100
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0
250
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0
20
40
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0
200
400
600
800
0
100
200
300
2024-01
2024-07
2025-01
2025-07
0
25
50
75
2024-01
2024-07
2025-01
2025-07
2024-01
2024-07
2025-01
2025-07
2024-01
2024-07
2025-01
2025-07
2024-01
2024-07
2025-01
2025-07
2024-01
2024-07
2025-01
2025-07
2024-01
2024-07
2025-01
2025-07
2024-01
2024-07
2025-01
2025-07
source
nhsn
nhsn as_of forecast
nssp
target_end_date
value
climate_base
climate_linear
ens_ar_only
ensemble_mix
linear
seasonal_nssp_latest
windowed_seasonal
windowed_seasonal_extra_sources
ak
al
ar
az
ca
co
ct
dc
de
fl
ga
hi
ia
id
il
in
ks
ky
la
ma
md
me
mi
mn
mo
ms
mt
nc
nd
ne
nh
nj
nm
nv
ny
oh
ok
or
pa
pr
ri
sc
sd
tn
tx
us
ut
va
vt
wa
wi
wv
wy
plotly-logomark
Fan displays 20-80, 5-95, and 1-99 quantiles.
0
20
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0
500
1000
1500
2000
0
100
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400
0
500
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1000
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5000
0
250
500
750
0
100
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500
0
30
60
90
0
50
100
150
200
0
2000
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6000
0
500
1000
1500
2000
2500
0
500
1000
1500
2000
0
100
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500
0
50
100
150
200
0
500
1000
1500
0
250
500
750
1000
1250
0
100
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400
0
500
1000
1500
2000
0
500
1000
1500
0
250
500
750
1000
0
200
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0
50
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150
0
500
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0
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0
250
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750
0
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0
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0
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0
50
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0
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0
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0
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0
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0
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0
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40000
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0
20
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0
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750
0
100
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2024-01
2024-07
2025-01
2025-07
0
30
60
90
120
2024-01
2024-07
2025-01
2025-07
2024-01
2024-07
2025-01
2025-07
2024-01
2024-07
2025-01
2025-07
2024-01
2024-07
2025-01
2025-07
2024-01
2024-07
2025-01
2025-07
2024-01
2024-07
2025-01
2025-07
2024-01
2024-07
2025-01
2025-07
source
nhsn
nhsn as_of forecast
nssp
target_end_date
value
climate_base
climate_linear
ens_ar_only
ensemble_mix
linear
seasonal_nssp_latest
windowed_seasonal
windowed_seasonal_extra_sources
ak
al
ar
az
ca
co
ct
dc
de
fl
ga
hi
ia
id
il
in
ks
ky
la
ma
md
me
mi
mn
mo
ms
mt
nc
nd
ne
nh
nj
nm
nv
ny
oh
ok
or
pa
pr
ri
sc
sd
tn
tx
us
ut
va
vt
wa
wi
wv
wy
plotly-logomark
Fan displays 20-80 quantiles for coverage.
0
1
2
3
4
0
1
2
3
4
0
1
2
3
0
1
2
3
1
2
3
0
1
2
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
1
2
0
1
2
3
4
0
1
2
3
4
0
1
2
3
0
2
4
6
0
2
4
0
1
2
3
0
1
2
3
4
0
1
2
3
4
0
1
2
3
0
1
2
3
4
0
1
2
3
4
0
1
2
3
4
0
1
2
3
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
1
2
3
4
0
1
2
3
4
0
1
2
3
0
1
2
3
4
0
1
2
3
0
1
2
3
0
1
2
3
4
0
1
2
3
4
0
1
2
3
4
5
0.0
0.5
1.0
1.5
2.0
2.5
0
1
2
3
0
1
2
3
4
0
1
2
3
1
2
3
0
1
2
3
0
1
2
3
4
0
1
2
3
4
0
1
2
3
0
1
2
3
0
1
2
3
4
1
2
3
0
1
2
3
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
1
2
3
4
1
2
3
0
1
2
3
4
0
2
4
6
2024-01
2024-07
2025-01
2025-07
0
1
2
3
4
2024-01
2024-07
2025-01
2025-07
2024-01
2024-07
2025-01
2025-07
2024-01
2024-07
2025-01
2025-07
2024-01
2024-07
2025-01
2025-07
2024-01
2024-07
2025-01
2025-07
2024-01
2024-07
2025-01
2025-07
2024-01
2024-07
2025-01
2025-07
source
nhsn
nhsn as_of forecast
nssp
target_end_date
value
climate_base
climate_geo_agged
climate_linear
ensemble_mix
linear_no_population_scale
seasonal_nssp_latest
windowed_seasonal
windowed_seasonal_extra_sources
ak
al
ar
az
ca
co
ct
dc
de
fl
ga
hi
ia
id
il
in
ks
ky
la
ma
md
me
mi
mn
mo
ms
mt
nc
nd
ne
nh
nj
nm
nv
ny
oh
ok
or
pa
pr
ri
sc
sd
tn
tx
us
ut
va
vt
wa
wi
wv
wy
plotly-logomark
Fan displays 20-80, 5-95, and 1-99 quantiles.
0
1
2
3
4
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
1
2
3
4
0
1
2
3
4
0
1
2
3
4
0
1
2
3
4
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
1
2
3
4
0
1
2
3
4
0
2
4
6
0
1
2
3
4
0.0
2.5
5.0
7.5
0
2
4
0
1
2
3
4
0
1
2
3
4
0
1
2
3
4
0
1
2
3
4
0
1
2
3
4
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
1
2
3
4
0
1
2
3
4
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
1
2
3
4
0
1
2
3
4
0
1
2
3
4
0
1
2
3
4
0
1
2
3
4
0
1
2
3
4
0
1
2
3
4
0
1
2
3
4
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
1
2
3
4
0
1
2
3
4
0
1
2
3
4
0
1
2
3
4
0
1
2
3
4
0
1
2
3
4
0
1
2
3
4
0
1
2
3
4
0
1
2
3
4
0
1
2
3
4
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
1
2
3
4
0
1
2
3
4
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
1
2
3
4
0
1
2
3
4
0
1
2
3
4
0
2
4
6
2024-01
2024-07
2025-01
2025-07
0
1
2
3
4
2024-01
2024-07
2025-01
2025-07
2024-01
2024-07
2025-01
2025-07
2024-01
2024-07
2025-01
2025-07
2024-01
2024-07
2025-01
2025-07
2024-01
2024-07
2025-01
2025-07
2024-01
2024-07
2025-01
2025-07
2024-01
2024-07
2025-01
2025-07
source
nhsn
nhsn as_of forecast
nssp
target_end_date
value
climate_base
climate_geo_agged
climate_linear
ensemble_mix
linear_no_population_scale
seasonal_nssp_latest
windowed_seasonal
windowed_seasonal_extra_sources
ak
al
ar
az
ca
co
ct
dc
de
fl
ga
hi
ia
id
il
in
ks
ky
la
ma
md
me
mi
mn
mo
ms
mt
nc
nd
ne
nh
nj
nm
nv
ny
oh
ok
or
pa
pr
ri
sc
sd
tn
tx
us
ut
va
vt
wa
wi
wv
wy
plotly-logomark