2024 experiments

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2024-2025 Season Reports

• Season Summary (the notebooks below are linked from here)
  • Covid’s Problematic Initial Forecast
  • NHSN and NSSP Revision Behavior
• Season Summary Talk
• An Analysis of Decreasing Behavior in Forecasters
• NHSN 2024-2025 Data Analysis

2024 Explore Notebooks

2024-2026

• Covid Overall
• Covid climate_linear
• Covid flatline_forecaster
• Covid revision_aware
• Covid revision_aware_nssp
• Covid scaled_pop_exogenous
• Covid scaled_pop_main
• Covid scaled_pop_season

2024-2025

• Covid Overall
• Covid climate_linear
• Covid flatline_forecaster
• Covid h−1 nowcasts
• Covid revision_aware
• Covid revision_aware_beds_no_season
• Covid revision_aware_beds_seasonal
• Covid revision_aware_nssp
• Covid scaled_pop_exogenous
• Covid scaled_pop_main
• Covid scaled_pop_season
• Flu Overall
• Flu climate_linear
• Flu flatline
• Flu h−1 nowcasts
• Flu no_recent_but_exogenous
• Flu no_recent_quant
• Flu revision_aware
• Flu revision_aware_augmented
• Flu revision_aware_beds_no_season
• Flu revision_aware_beds_seasonal
• Flu revision_aware_no_season
• Flu revision_aware_nssp
• Flu scaled_pop_data_augmented
• Flu scaled_pop_exogenous
• Flu scaled_pop_main
• Flu scaled_pop_season
• Flu scaled_pop_season_exogenous
• Flu season_window_sizes
• Rsv Overall
• Rsv climate_linear
• Rsv h−1 nowcasts
• Rsv revision_aware
• Rsv revision_aware_beds_no_season
• Rsv revision_aware_nssp
• Rsv scaled_pop_exogenous
• Rsv scaled_pop_main
• Rsv scaled_pop_season

2024-2025 Season Backtesting

• Flu All Backtesting (rendered 2025-05-21)
• Flu NSSP Backtesting (rendered 2026-05-06)
• Flu NHSN Backtesting (rendered 2026-05-06)
• Covid All Backtesting (rendered 2025-10-09)
• Covid NSSP Backtesting (rendered 2026-05-11)
• Covid NHSN Backtesting (rendered 2026-05-11)

2023-2024 Season Backtesting

• Forecaster Exploration Summary